NYISO Value of Distributed Energy Resources (VDER) Forecast

Our bi-annual report forecasts revenue streams and margins for distributed solar and battery storage assets participating in New York's VDER program. Built on Aurora's latest NYISO market fundamentals, this Forecast equips users with:

Transparent assumptions—Visibility into underlying Aurora Central forecast data to 2050 by zone

  • Monthly Energy prices; around-the-clock (ATC) prices, solar capture prices
  • Monthly Capacity Alternative 1 & 3 rates, Alternative 2 to be added in the future
  • Annual capacity and generation forecast for NYISO
  • Common assumptions and utility-provided data

Investment cases—Comprehensive set of solar and battery margin forecasts

  • All zone / utility combinations included for both standalone solar and battery assets
  • Margins provided at a monthly granularity and split by Energy (charging & discharging), Capacity, DRV, and Environmental
  • Battery behavior based on dispatching our in-house battery trader against wholesale and retail rates
  • Semi-flexible databook allows for manipulation of key inputs: asset size, solar mount, VDER and retail rates

Key risks and uncertainties—Exploration of trends and changes to DRV, Environmental, and LSRV value streams

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